
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics : Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives - Paperback
1996, ISBN: 0691027919
[EAN: 9780691027913], Neubuch, [PU: Princeton University Press], POLITICAL SCIENCE / HISTORY & THEORY, nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware -Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett, and Barry Weingast--find such counterfactual conjectures not only useful, but necessary for drawing causal inferences from historical data. Given the importance of counterfactuals, it is perhaps surprising that we lack standards for evaluating them. To fill this gap, Philip Tetlock and Aaron Belkin propose a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a wide range of applications. The contributors to this volume make use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis. Taken together, these essays go a long way toward establishing a more nuanced and rigorous framework for assessing counterfactual arguments about world politics in particular and about the social sciences more broadly. 356 pp. Englisch, Books
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ISBN: 9780691027913
Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett, and Barry Weingast--find such counterfactual conjectures not only useful, but necessary for drawing causal inferences from historical data. Given the importance of counterfactuals, it is perhaps surprising that we lack standards for evaluating them. To fill this gap, Philip Tetlock and Aaron Belkin propose a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a wide range of applications. The contributors to this volume make use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis. Taken together, these essays go a long way toward establishing a more nuanced and rigorous framework for assessing counterfactual arguments about world politics in particular and about the social sciences more broadly. Bücher > Fremdsprachige Bücher > Englische Bücher 229 x 152 x 20 mm , University Presses, Taschenbuch, University Presses
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ISBN: 9780691027913
Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett, and Barry Weingast--find such counterfactual conjectures not only useful, but necessary for drawing causal inferences from historical data. Given the importance of counterfactuals, it is perhaps surprising that we lack standards for evaluating them. To fill this gap, Philip Tetlock and Aaron Belkin propose a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a wide range of applications. The contributors to this volume make use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis. Taken together, these essays go a long way toward establishing a more nuanced and rigorous framework for assessing counterfactual arguments about world politics in particular and about the social sciences more broadly. Books > History > Politics List_Books, [PU: Princeton University Press]
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ISBN: 9780691027913
Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett, and Barry Weingast--find such counterfactual conjectures not only useful, but necessary for drawing causal inferences from historical data. Given the importance of counterfactuals, it is perhaps surprising that we lack standards for evaluating them. To fill this gap, Philip Tetlock and Aaron Belkin propose a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a wide range of applications. The contributors to this volume make use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis. Taken together, these essays go a long way toward establishing a more nuanced and rigorous framework for assessing counterfactual arguments about world politics in particular and about the social sciences more broadly. Books, [PU: Princeton University Press]
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1996, ISBN: 9780691027913
Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives, Buch, Softcover, [PU: Princeton University Press], Princeton University Press, 1996
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Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics : Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives - Paperback
1996, ISBN: 0691027919
[EAN: 9780691027913], Neubuch, [PU: Princeton University Press], POLITICAL SCIENCE / HISTORY & THEORY, nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware -Political scientists often ask themselves what… More...

ISBN: 9780691027913
Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dr… More...

ISBN: 9780691027913
Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dr… More...

ISBN: 9780691027913
Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dr… More...
1996, ISBN: 9780691027913
Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives, Buch, Softcover, [PU: Princeton University Press], Princeton University Press, 1996
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Details of the book - Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics
EAN (ISBN-13): 9780691027913
ISBN (ISBN-10): 0691027919
Paperback
Publishing year: 1996
Publisher: Princeton University Press
356 Pages
Weight: 0,526 kg
Language: eng/Englisch
Book in our database since 2007-03-28T11:27:05-04:00 (New York)
Detail page last modified on 2022-06-18T04:55:50-04:00 (New York)
ISBN/EAN: 0691027919
ISBN - alternate spelling:
0-691-02791-9, 978-0-691-02791-3
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